Facebook could fade out like a disease, math model says

Search query data for “Facebook” and “MySpace” obtained from Google Trends overlaid on top of each other.

Facebook is like an infectious disease, experiencing a spike before its decline, according to US researchers who claim the social network will lose 80 percent of users by 2017.
Two doctoral candidates in mechanical and aerospace engineering at Princeton University made their astonishing claims in a paper published online at a scientific research archive, but not yet peer-reviewed.

Based on the rise and fall of MySpace, John Cannarella and Joshua Spechler say that Facebook, the largest online social network in history, is set for a massive fall.
“Ideas, like diseases, have been shown to spread infectiously between people before eventually dying out, and have been successfully described with epidemiological models,” they wrote.
They applied a modified epidemiological model to describe the dynamics of user activity of online social networks, using Google data that is publicly available.

It will make uncomfortable reading for the social media giant co-founded by Mark Zuckerberg, which has more than 1.1 billion users around the globe and turns 10 years old next month.
Their study said Facebook, whose shares climbed to a new high of $58.51 this week, has been in decline in terms of data usage since 2012.

“Facebook is expected to undergo rapid decline in the upcoming years, shrinking to 20 percent of its maximum size by December 2014,” said the report posted online to peers at ArXiv.org.

“Extrapolating the best fit model into the future suggests that Facebook will undergo a rapid decline in the coming years, losing 80 percent of its peak user base between 2015 and 2017.”
The new research comes amid surveys suggesting that younger users started gravitating away from Facebook in 2013.

Cannarella and Spechler told AFP they did not wish to comment publicly in person until their manuscript had completed its peer review process ahead of formal publication.
But at least for now, Facebook’s fortunes are in good health.

Rising share prices have made chief operating officer Sheryl Sandberg the latest tech billionaire and Zuckerberg, 29, has a personal fortune estimated at about $19 billion

Published on http://phys.org/news/2014-01-facebook-disease-math.html

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Your Data Gets Lost Or Stolen Online Frequently. Do You Even Care?

2013 was filled with even more large service providers, government departments and enterprises getting hacked or otherwise loosing your data. Your data was likely lost on multiple occasions just from the breaches in the news, let alone the ones that never made the headlines. Reputation or direct fiscal impact are proven outcomes of such breaches, yet I’ve observed that in many cases people don’t particularly care when their data is lost. I think many receive an e-mail informing them of the problem, pause for 2-3 seconds of reflection before moving on with whatever they were doing before. Imagine then, the following scenario. How would you behave?

We are all moving more and more of our personal and business data online and the potential damage to you and your business increases every day. What then, you might ask, is being done about this problem?

The trend of data breaches shows little sign of slowing and so governments world over have been scrambling to find ways to increase consumer confidence and to enhance best practice of enterprises small, medium and large. Data breach regulations and data protection reforms have been a hallmark of legal developments over the last few years all over the globe, but right now several regions are embarking on implementation phases which will tighten requirements significantly. California Senate Bill 1386 is perhaps the most legendary of breach notification law but Europe is now considering following suite with standardized breach notification in a bid to create more transparency. E-Privacy Directive, proposed Directive on Network and information security and the proposed data protection regulation are amongst some of the initiatives that place breach notification obligation on various industries. However if we step back for a moment, is this change a positive or negative one?

European data breach regulations specify that in the event of a data breach the appropriate regulator and consumers must be notified that their data has been lost or compromised in reasonable timeframes such that they can take steps to protect themselves. The premise is that by forcing enterprises to be transparent about data breaches they are significantly more likely to handle data with care and act in the interests of consumers. That makes sense to me, but ask yourself, what would your reaction be in the event a provider notified you of a breach? It seems a simple issue and that you have clearly been wronged, but it is more complex then at first it seems. In some instances breaches might be the result of incompetence, where as in others they may be the result of being an unfortunate victim (where suitable security steps were taken and were bypassed by a new technique discovered by cyber criminals). Would you move provider? Would staying with the same provider be the better strategy, as they are less likely to make the same mistake? Is that previous logic actually sound or are they probably going to become a trendy target with criminals?

A great deal of focus and effort is going in to the use of breach notification as a mechanism to drive better security and privacy for you. If you answered the survey above I will feed your responses in to a consultation presently running in this area. Operational Trustworthiness and Enabling technologies (OPTET) is a European 7th framework project. Southampton University ILAWS center is researching the legal aspects of trust and the Internet. You can find more information here.

As published on http://www.forbes.com/sites/jameslyne/2013/12/19/your-data-gets-lost-or-stolen-online-frequently-do-you-even-care/

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Hackers Are Attacking Millions Of Computers And Demanding Ransom In Bitcoins

Before you mail holiday gifts to faraway friends and relatives, back up your most important computer files. There’s a scary new computer virus called CryptoLocker that was spreading like crazy in the U.K. last month and is now crossing over to infect U.S. computers.

The National Crime Agency in the UK issued an alert last month saying that hackers have targeted “tens of millions” of computers.

CryptoLocker ransom message

CryptoLocker is a form of a virus called “ransomware,” meaning hackers do something bad to your computer and then demand money to reverse what they’ve done. In this case, CryptoLocker encrypts the files on your computer. Then you get a pop-up notice on your computer telling you that you must pay if you want your files back.

Sometimes the hackers want $100, sometimes $300, and sometimes they want up to 2 bitcoins. They ask for bitcoins because they are difficult to trace. Sometimes the virus gives you the option of paying through MoneyPak, a site that offers pre-paid credit cards.

You might get 100 hours to pay. If you pay, maybe your files will be set free. Maybe they won’t. Maybe you’ll one day be asked to pay again.

Much of the time, the virus comes as an attachment to an email. The attachment is often a fake FedEx and UPS tracking notice, the Homeland Security Cybercrime unit warns. That’s particularly dangerous during the holiday shopping season when many people are shipping packages.

The good news is that authorities have been finding and taking down the computer systems sending out CryptoLocker emails. Reports on Monday indicated that some 138 of these systems have been found and blocked.

But infections are still running rampant. Even a police department in Swansea, Mass., was infected and paid 2 bitcoins in early November, worth about $750 at the time, reports the Herald News’ Brian Fraga.

Antivirus software will help. But the best defense is to avoid opening attachments and to back up your files, experts say.

As published on http://www.businessinsider.in/Hackers-Are-Attacking-Millions-Of-Computers-And-Demanding-Ransom-In-Bitcoins/articleshow/26762378.cms
Image Credit Malwarebytes.org

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Fine Art by Shailendra Nair


Fine Art by Shailendra Nair on 500px.com



Fine Art
by
Shailendra Nair

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The biggest hindrance to corporate growth

IT departments are “the biggest hindrance to corporate growth”, and they need to learn from the “shadow IT” workaround of other divisions bringing SaaS solutions in directly. That’s what David Linthicum, the curator of Gigaom Research’s cloud coverage, sees in his role as an SVP at Cloud Technology Partners, a cloud consulting and implementation firm.

In his view, IT departments on one hand get in trouble by violating IT principles in their approach to the cloud. But on the other hand their lack of responsiveness is the cause for line-of-business managers bringing in SaaS products in a way that may violate the compliance, security and integration requirements of the organization. Too often, firms know what they want and need to meet customer demand, but IT is too slow in delivering on it.

Cloud computing is the technology that enables companies to break that cycle, but it takes great skill to leverage the agility of cloud solutions within increasingly complex hybrid and multi-cloud environments.

IT department mistakes with cloud

Among the mistakes David sees IT departments make with cloud are

Bypassing traditional prototype and pilot approaches, with the resulting data points factored into ROI projections—and thus ending up with unworkable solutions by the time they call in external assistance, and
Not factoring in the dynamics and cost of staffing with the skill set needed to manage a cloud environment.

Sticker shock

The cost and difficulty of staffing with the needed skill set may be what most takes IT departments by surprise. Although some employees can be retrained effectively for the requirements of cloud—and cloud vendors are happy to train them on their products—David says many staffers are simply not suited for challenging cloud jobs. For both implementation and operation, new employees must either be hired or contracted for with a service provider.

A service provider may be an easy choice for the temporary role of implementations, but even operational staff can be difficult to hire. In smaller cities in the U.S., they may be difficult to find, while in larger tech centers such as Silicon Valley, Boston, or Washington, DC, they can be found but are very expensive. For those shops in markets where they are scarce, contracting with a service provider may be the way to go. Either way, the sticker shock of salary costs can confound companies that haven’t factored it into their business case.

Recommendations for “shadow IT”

With SaaS, sales, marketing, HR or other departments can go around a slow IT department to bring the applications they need into an organization more quickly. But such side-door technology purchases can lead to breaches in legal, regulatory and security requirements. David advises departmental executives tempted to bring in their own SaaS solutions to follow these minimum rules:

Tell the IT department about what is being brought in, so security and compliance concerns, at least, can be addressed;
Work with the IT departments as well as possible; and
Don’t hide it!

How the smart IT departments learn

David believes that smart IT departments learn from shadow IT initiatives by learning the priorities, needs, preferences and preferred delivery for technology in line-of-business departments. Proactive IT executives are enabling their non-IT peers to continue to take the lead in such decisions, while also assuring that such purchases meet the security, compliance and integration requirements of the firm.

As published on http://research.gigaom.com/2013/11/the-biggest-hindrance-to-corporate-growth/

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London Gets Its Own Internet Domain

Special Thanks to Karishma Sinha

London will shortly be one of Europe’s first cities to get its own top level domain after .london was approved by the Internet’s naming body.

Dot London & Partners, a government-funded promotional group that will operate the .london domain name, said on Friday that the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers, (ICANN), had given .london the go-ahead. London-based businesses can apply for addresses ending in .london from spring 2014 and the addresses will go live in summer, it said.

London & Partners said tens of thousands of businesses have expressed an interest in .london including property company Shaftesbury, which owns Carnaby Street, a central London pedestrian zone famous for fashion stores.

“London is an incredibly strong brand in retail, fashion and lifestyle, so Carnaby is delighted to be able to promote its geographical and cultural identity across the Internet in this way,” Shaftesbury’s head of marketing and communication Claire Harris said.

New York has already had .nyc approved and applications for Paris, Berlin and Vienna are pending.

ICANN started the process of rolling out the new top level domains last month when four new non-Latin script domains were approved.

In all some 1,200 gTLDs are expected to be approved — a dramatic increase from the existing 280, 248 of which are country codes like .fr, .ee or .pl. Applications include .app, .home, .inc, .gay and .news. Even the Vatican, through the Pontifical Council for Social Communication, has applied for a top level domain, .catholic, as well as the same word in Arabic, Cyrillic and Chinese.

As published on http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2013/11/15/london-gets-its-own-internet-domain/?mod=e2fb

Special Thanks to Karishma Sinha

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Is The Internet Domain Land Rush A Land Rush At All?

There’s a land rush going on right now. At least that’s how everyone seems to be describing the with so-called top-level domains.

Pretty soon, there’s going to be a lot more than .coms out there, and a lot of big companies and a few upstarts are bidding huge amounts to get the new Internet addresses.

To register a domain name you typically go through a commercial domain retailer, like GoDaddy or DomainNames.com. But it is never totally clear who owns the address you’re buying.

You might think you’re buying it from the government, and that the sale of these new domain names is like selling parts of the radio spectrum for TV or radio broadcasts. It would make sense to think that since the U.S. government created the Internet in the 1980s. But, in a move with staggering implications, the U.S. gave it up to the world.

Regulating Domain Name Space

The Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers, or ICANN, is the organization that sprang up to administer the sale and designation of domain names. It is the only governing body that does this, and it developed the rules for who got .coms, .edu, .orgs and regional designations like .uk (United Kingdom) or .ly (Libya).

For the two-letter country codes, ICANN established early on that whoever presents themselves as the designated official representative of that nation’s government is allowed to manage the name space from there on.

If it wants, the country or territory can just sell the space to the left of its top-level domain, and many have. Take NPR’s ownership of , which ends in Puerto Rico’s regional domain. TV stations and a lot of other companies buy these links because they need short URLs. They’re easier to deal with and fit in a 140-character tweet.

That’s why domains can be so valuable — and why so many people are excited about the new top-level domains.

The problem with the land rush analogy, though, is that this isn’t land or anything like land. Land is a physical thing, and there is a limited amount. But that doesn’t apply to the Internet: ICANN can simply make more virtual real estate, which is exactly what they did.

Who Is Buying?

If you have a few million dollars to spare, and are willing to take a bit of a risk, you too can take advantage of the new top-level domains. Jeff Sass is the marketing director for the newly minted , now by the company .CLUB Domains.

“The [application] fee alone was $185,000,” Sass tells NPR’s Arun Rath. “And then of course there’s [the] legal costs and financial papers and other things that have to be done as part of it.”

After paying these initial hundreds of thousands of dollars, the company then had to bid for .CLUB in a private auction. The auction went on for several days, but in the end Sass’ company was victorious. Sass wouldn’t say how much exactly the company paid for the name, but says his company has raised $8.2 million to date and spent in excess of $5 million so far on obtaining the name and the marketing.

So is shelling out millions for the perfect name space a good strategy? On the Internet, property value is what you make of it.

“If you start thinking about these top-level domains, we see that .com is valuable. Will .soda, for soda pop vendors, will that be valuable?” says Charles Severance, who teaches information technology at the University of Michigan. “I think it’ll be more about how they make it valuable rather than just getting it.”

Severance says there are some people who do get lucky from speculating on and buying domain names, sometimes known as cyber-squatting. But he said that’s rare.

“In general, just holding onto a four- or six-character string — unless you’ve made it valuable — you have to invest in making it valuable,” he says.

In other words, this may not be the kind of land rush that opens up opportunity for the little guys. In fact, ICANN spokesman Brad White doesn’t think you should look at it like a land rush at all.

” ‘Land rush’ sort of in my mind infers … everybody running in at the moment and seizing property in the hopes of getting rich overnight,” White says. “I don’t know that that’s necessarily what is happening here.”

In most real estate sales, there are winners and losers. But White says he wouldn’t necessarily characterize what’s happening with Internet domain names in that “over-simplified sense.”

“The addressing system is pretty big and pretty open, and there’s room for a lot of expansion,” he says. “One of the reasons that we launched into this program is because there was some concern that some of the most popular top-level domains, like .com for example, … were hard to get.”

There have been cases of businesses changing their names so they can have a website that matches.

Now, .com — and therefore the company Verisign — is getting some competition. Every .com site out there was sold by Verisign.

“I think 80-something percent of all domains right now exist in the .com space, about 280 million,” says David Mitnick, an intellectual property lawyer who advises companies buying and selling domain names.

“Verisign was not thrilled about this idea that there was going to more competition,” he says. “There were only 22 top-level domains that existed before this program was started. Now, there could potentially be an infinite number.”

Potential Impact

With those infinite possibilities, there might be a chance for domain names that are easier for people who don’t speak English.

Imagine that whenever you went online to do a search or buy something, you had to type the Web address in a foreign language.

“You start thinking about doing things that are appropriate for consumers, [like] publishing URLs in Korea. Why is it you can see everything in Korean, and suddenly this URL has to use a Latin character set?” says Severance of the University of Michigan. “That’s jarring.”

Severance says kids looking at educational resources won’t have to learn a foreign language just to find them on the Internet, and that is the kind of positive benefit that’s not really a speculation.

“We’re not making a bunch of money here,” he says, “but we are changing what’s possible.”

As published on http://www.npr.org/blogs/alltechconsidered/2013/11/17/245835720/is-the-internet-domain-land-rush-a-land-rush-at-all

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Google Search: Reunion

Worth watching

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Being Martians

Now we can say Being “Martians” – Shailendra Nair

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Past and Present Apple Newton & IPad

I am a proud owner of Apple Newton MessagePad

Handheld computers were still largely the stuff of science fiction, way back in the year 1993, when I had the opportunity to own Apple Newton (OMP or Original MessagePad) running Apple Newton OS, when I was still in high school and exactly 20 years later year 2013 my latest Apple iPad mini running Apple IOS 7

One of rare technology marvel which kicked off the handheld/smart phone revolution.

Apple Newton

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